Okie-TX Star Party Weather Page

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This page is the day by day forecast page for the Okie-TX Star Party 
constructed and forecasted by John Ensworth (Meteorologist and Astronomer)

The event runs from September 21st - September 28 , 2003 with details at  www.okie-tex.com .

Updated : 08/05/2006 17:25:25 (CDT - 24hr clock) 
Click Refresh to get the latest Forecast.

NOTE: I am recording a nightly forecast at my cell phone # 405-250-4250 ending Sept 27th.


The Discussion:  

TONIGHT! The increasing clouds overnight is holding in the forecast.  The early evening (after the winds calm down right after sunset) could be very nice.  You may get some good observing in through midnight (through holes and the like). The seeing will be pretty good and the winds very calm.  

If it clouds up after midnight, then you can get some sleep before the big drive home. 

 

THE DRIVE HOME:  Expect a good chance of storms as the day progresses on Sunday.  The showers will extend mainly from SE Colorado, NW New Mexico and the entire Texas and Oklahoma panhandles. 

Please email me your observing conditions logs.  I'd like to compare what really happened to what was forecast so I can make it even more accurate next year.  Thanks! johnensworth@startrek.net

Have FUN out there!

The Forecast for the next 1.5 days (cloud cover, seeing, and transparency)
Black Mesa Oklahoma (Kenton, OK)
Click ON the picture below, then the HOUR and PROPERTY (Cloud Cover, Transparency, Seeing) to see a FUTURE map of the property in question.

The above forecast is provided by www.pobox.com/~clearskyclock 

 
Which Night 
(that PM to next morning)
In Brief Forecast   
(Cloud Cover, Seeing, Transparency are on a 
10 pt scale --->  10= GREAT, 1 = AWFUL )
Excellent, Great, Good, Fair, Poor Winds (where they are coming from) Low (5am) High (4pm)
Sun Sept 21  Partly Cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm lingering from the afternoon.  There is a 20% chance of rain in the afternoon and evening.  Great to Excellent Winds Light changing to the west/ northwest  from the SE around midnight.  49 79
6-9pm 20% cloud cover,62F, ESE Winds at 6mph
Cloud Cover= 8   Seeing= Transparency=6
9-12am 10% cloud cover,55F, North Winds at 1mph
Cloud Cover= 8   Seeing= Transparency=7
12a-3am 5% cloud cover,50F, North Winds at 1mph
Cloud Cover= 7   Seeing= Transparency=6
3-6am 5% cloud cover, 49F, N. Winds 1mph
Cloud Cover= 7   Seeing= Transparency=8
Mon Sept 22

then

  Mainly Clear overnight until after midnight = approaching cirrus Excellent becoming
Good to only Fair
SE winds, light with gusts changing to S and light. 

SW winds picking up before dawn

52 77
6-9pm 5% cloud cover,62F, SE Winds at 8 G to 10
Cloud Cover= 9   Seeing= Transparency=7
9-12am 20% cloud cover,56F, SE Winds at 6 mph
Cloud Cover= 9   Seeing= Transparency=7
12a-3am 45% cloud cover,55F, S Winds at 6 G to 10
Cloud Cover= 8   Seeing= Transparency=4
3-6am 80% cloud cover,52F, SSW Winds a 10 G 16
Cloud Cover= 9   Seeing= Transparency=2
Tue Sept 23
becoming
Cirrus from Hurricane Marty will continue to overspread the area through midnight and maybe beyond. 
Starting cloudy, then slowly clearing by dawn, windy and mild.  Some persistent cirrus all the time. This should be the warmest night of the week. 
Great or 
Good
Strong Southwest winds becoming northwest by dawn 50 86
6-9pm 45% cloud cover,70F, SSW Winds at 16 G to 28mph
Cloud Cover= 5   Seeing= Transparency=3
9-12am 25% cloud cover,65F, SW Winds at 14 G to 20mph
Cloud Cover= 6   Seeing= Transparency=3
12-3am 17% cloud cover,60F, W Winds at 13 G to 19mph
Cloud Cover= 7   Seeing= Transparency=4
3-6am 5% cloud cover,  53F, NW Winds at 13 G to 18mph
Cloud Cover= 9   Seeing= Transparency=8
Wed Sept 24 Excellent
Fair
Northeast to North winds and quite light, turning west by morning, still light 44 78
 Mostly Clear, nearly calm, cooler toward morning (a fast temp drop) (Some clouds moving through in the early morning hours).
6-9pm 35% cloud cover,  63F, NE Winds at 6 G to 14mph
Cloud Cover = 5  Seeing = 7  Transparency = 5
9-12am 75% cloud cover,  58F, ENE Winds at 5 G to 9mph
Cloud Cover = 4  Seeing = 7  Transparency = 5
12-3am 80% cloud cover,  48F, N Winds at 3mph
Cloud Cover = 3  Seeing = 8  Transparency = 5
3-6am 85% cloud cover,  43F, W Winds at 2mph
Cloud Cover = 3  Seeing = 9  Transparency = 3
Thur Sept 25 Mainly Clear and chilly Great to Excellent S then SW to W winds  strong and not too gusty 53 78
6-9pm 0% cloud cover,  70F, S  Winds at 10 G to 21mph
Cloud Cover = 9  Seeing = 7  Transparency = 8
9-12am 10% cloud cover,  68F, SW Winds at 10 G to 14mph
Cloud Cover = 8  Seeing = 8  Transparency = 8
12-3am 5% cloud cover,  60F, W  Winds at 10 G to 14mph
Cloud Cover = 9  Seeing = 9  Transparency = 9
3-6am 0% cloud cover,  54F, W Winds at 11 G to 14mph
Cloud Cover = 10  Seeing = 10  Transparency = 9
Fri Sept 26 Mainly Clear  Excellent then becoming only  Great Light Northeast then N winds  not too strong  45 81
6-9pm 5% cloud cover,   73F, NE Winds at 7mph G to 15
Cloud cover = 8   Seeing = 5  Transparency = 8
9-12am 10% cloud cover,  55F, N Winds at 7G to 10mph
Cloud cover = 8   Seeing = 6  Transparency =7
12-3am 5% cloud cover,    51F, N Winds at 4mph
Cloud cover = 9   Seeing = 7  Transparency = 6
3-6am 20% cloud cover,  45F, N Winds at 3mph
Cloud cover = 7   Seeing = 9  Transparency = 6
Sat Sept 27
becoming
Partly Cloudy with clouds increasing.  A chance of showers after 4am.  (Snow not far away in South-central Colorado!) Turning cooler for Sunday. Great  becoming Poor East then N winds not very strong (becoming calm after sunset) 42 74
6-9pm 15% cloud cover,  63F, E Winds at 8mph G to 14mph
Cloud cover = 8   Seeing = 7  Transparency = 7
9-12am 25% cloud cover,  49F, ENE Winds at 5mph
Cloud cover = 6   Seeing = 8  Transparency = 5
12-3am 65% cloud cover,  45F, N Winds at 3mph
Cloud cover = 3   Seeing = 9  Transparency = 2
3-6am 85% cloud cover,  42F, N Winds nearly calm
Cloud cover = 1   Seeing = 7  Transparency = 1
Sun Sept 28   (Day only)   Mostly to Partly Cloudy, a 40% chance of a thunderstorm in the morning becoming a 60% chance of thunderstorms by afternoon n/a (we're closed this evening) Becoming Calm in the daytime 44 62

Current Conditions AND The National Weather Service Forecast (click it) ---- >   Click for Kenton, Oklahoma Forecast

And from Accuweather.com  http://wwwa.accuweather.com/adcbin/public/hbh_local.asp?zipcode=&partner=accuweather&whent=18&whend=1 

 

For tonight's cloud cover (best after 3pm) ONLY  see:    UCAR - RUC Cloud Forecast Loop 

The Current Infrared Satellite View

 

The Future Satellite View

The Following Frames are the Clouds Forecast out 12 hours from the first frame time.
This is the same product as is in the UCAR RUC Cloud Forecast Loop above.

To know the time - subtract 5 hours (in daylight time = summer) from the valid "xxxx" UTC time.
Remember to hop back to the night before (date wise) when you cross midnight 0000 UTC as you subract.

To know the time - subtract 5 hours (in daylight time = summer) from the valid "xxxx" UTC time.
Remember to hop back to the night before (date wise) when you cross midnight 0000 UTC as you subract.

To know the time - subtract 5 hours (in daylight time = summer) from the valid "xxxx" UTC time.
Remember to hop back to the night before (date wise) when you cross midnight 0000 UTC as you subract.

To know the time - subtract 5 hours (in daylight time = summer) from the valid "xxxx" UTC time.
Remember to hop back to the night before (date wise) when you cross midnight 0000 UTC as you subract.

To know the time - subtract 5 hours (in daylight time = summer) from the valid "xxxx" UTC time.
Remember to hop back to the night before (date wise) when you cross midnight 0000 UTC as you subract.

To know the time - subtract 5 hours (in daylight time = summer) from the valid "xxxx" UTC time.
Remember to hop back to the night before (date wise) when you cross midnight 0000 UTC as you subract.

To know the time - subtract 5 hours (in daylight time = summer) from the valid "xxxx" UTC time.
Remember to hop back to the night before (date wise) when you cross midnight 0000 UTC as you subract.

 

 

Disclaimer:  
My confidence in the forecast beyond 3 days into the future is only moderate. Remember, this is a place that is NOT very carefully handled by the meteorological community since no one is out there - relatively speaking! (Compare it to the East Coast!)